NHS Career Earnings Forecaster: Promotion vs Progression

See what staying on your band is worth against a promotion, year by year. We use the real time on each pay point, the Handbook's promotion placement rule and your take-home after tax, National Insurance and pension.

Only need the monthly difference between two bands today? Use the free promotion pay calculator or check whether a promotion is worth it. This tool is the multi-year version.

Where you are now

Your pay step date is on your payslip or in your HR record. 0 means you have just moved onto this point.

Compare a promotion

0 = straight away, 12 = in a year, 24 = in two years. That is 2 years from now.

Costs, extra pay and pay awards (optional)

Night, weekend and bank holiday enhancements or regular overtime that depend on your current job. Estimate it with the unsocial hours or rota calculator.

Many senior posts are Monday to Friday days, so this is often lower. Leave at 0 if you expect none.

Course fees, a move or a longer commute for the first year. Taken from take-home in the month the promotion starts; with this set we can show a break-even month.

Default 0%: every year uses the real 2026/27 rates, in today's money, because future awards are not announced. Type your own assumption if you want a cash-terms view. It is applied at the start of each forecast year after the first; tax thresholds and pension rates stay at 2026/27 values.

Your answers are saved in this browser only (nothing is sent to us), so they are still here if you pay and come back.

Back to your result

Based on Band 5, point 1, 37.5 hours a week. Change your details

Extra take-home over 5 years if you promote to Band 6

+£8,063

+£13,861 before tax, NI and pension. In the month it starts, take-home changes by about +£252 a month.

This path is ahead of staying put from the first month it starts.

Today, Band 5 point 1

£24,483 a year

take-home in year 1, from £32,073 gross

Top of Band 5

in 4 years

£39,043 full-time basic

Career Earnings Forecaster

See years 6 to 15, a second promotion and the pension effect

The free forecast covers five years for one promotion. Pro runs your own numbers over up to 15 years and adds a second path.

Your 15 years, worked out for you

Over 15 years, promoting to Band 6 in 2 years adds Locked until you unlock this tool to your take-home compared with staying, on the figures you entered.

£9.99 one-off

One-off payment for 6 months of access. Not a subscription, so nothing renews and nothing is taken later. The 5-year stay-versus-promote forecast, chart, pay-step timeline, break-even and share link stay free.

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What Career Earnings Forecaster adds
  • Forecasts up to 15 years instead of 5, with the whole chart readable
  • Path B: compare a different timing, a different band, or two promotions in a row, against staying put and against path A
  • Cumulative take-home chart per path, with the month each one breaks even on your costs
  • Pension effect: extra annual NHS pension built and extra contributions paid on each path (2015 scheme)
  • Printable PDF report, plus AI career guidance that reads your own scenarios

Use the same email to sign in afterwards and your access is linked automatically. Your answers are kept on this device so you come straight back to your results. Or get every tool for £54.99 a quarter or £119 a year: see all plans. Our editorial policy explains how we source our figures.

Monthly take-home over time

Take-home a month£1.5k£2k£2.5k£3kNowYr 3Yr 6Yr 9Yr 12Yr 15

Years 6 to 15 are drawn from your real inputs but blurred. Unlock to read them.

Year by year

Each year is the next 12 months from today. The pay point shown is the one you are on at the end of that year. Take-home is after tax, NI, NHS Pension.

YearStay in Band 5Promote to Band 6
Yr 1Pt 1£24,483£32,073 grossBand 5 pt 1£24,483same as staying
Yr 2Pt 1£24,483£32,073 grossBand 5 pt 1£24,483same as staying
Yr 3Pt 2£26,129£34,592 grossBand 6 pt 1 (starts)£29,157+£3,028 take-home
Yr 4Pt 2£26,129£34,592 grossBand 6 pt 1£29,157+£3,028 take-home
Yr 5Pt 3 (top)£28,570£39,043 grossBand 6 pt 2£30,576+£2,006 take-home

Take-home is shown large, gross pay beneath it.

Cumulative take-home over 5 years: staying £129,792; Promote to Band 6 £137,855.

When you move up a point

Staying in Band 5

  • Point 1 (£32,073)you are here
  • Point 2 (£34,592)in 2 years
  • Point 3 (£39,043)in 4 years

After promotion to Band 6 (the pay step date resets)

  • Point 1 (£39,959)starting point
  • Point 2 (£42,170)in 2 years
  • Point 3 (£48,117)in 5 years

Time on each point comes from NHS Employers' 2026/27 pay scales table (England, Wales and Northern Ireland) and Annex 23 (Scotland). Moving up a point also needs the performance standards in the Handbook to be met, and Wales and Northern Ireland have their own local arrangements, so check with your HR team.

On promotion the Handbook places you on the minimum point of the new band (Section 1, para 1.17), which is what path A does unless you pick another point. If that would not raise your basic pay, your old basic pay is kept until the new band overtakes it. Basic pay and London weighting only, plus the extra pay you enter. A planning estimate, not a payslip.

Next step

Compare any two bands on take-home pay today

The forecaster looks years ahead. For the exact monthly difference between two specific bands and points, with unsocial hours lost and pension, use the free promotion pay calculator.

Open the promotion pay calculator

Next step

Is a promotion worth it once you count what you lose?

Losing night or weekend enhancements can wipe out a band rise. This free tool shows the realistic gain and the break-even.

Check if it is worth it

Short answer

Progression is the yearly-ish step up the pay points inside your band (Band 5 reaches the top after four years, Band 6 after five). Promotion is a move to a higher band, where the Handbook places you on the minimum point of the new band and restarts your pay step clock. For a full-time Band 5 nurse on point 1, promotion to Band 6 after two years is worth about £8,063 more take-home over five years than staying, and £58,651 over fifteen. Run your own band above.

NHS promotion vs progression: what each one pays

People often mix up the two ways NHS pay goes up. A pay point step moves you up inside your band. A promotion moves you into a different band. For someone on Band 5 point 1 the difference is large:

Move for a Band 5 on point 1Basic pay (2026/27)Rise
Stay put for now£32,073-
Progression to Band 5 point 2 (after 2 years)£34,592+£2,519
Promotion to Band 6 minimum point£39,959+£7,886

Promoted straight away, that Band 5 nurse would take home £9,350 more than a colleague who stays on point 1 for those two years. The catch is that promotion restarts the clock, so the gap narrows as your colleague climbs, and a promotion from the top of a band is worth much less. Both effects are in the chart above.

The NHS promotion rule: where you start in the new band

The rule behind searches like "NHS promotion rule" is in Section 1 of the NHS Terms and Conditions of Service Handbook (England):

  • ✓ Basic pay on promotion is set at the minimum pay point of the new band, and your pay step date resets to the date you start in it (paras 1.15 and 1.17).
  • ✓ Moving to the next point depends on length of stay at each point within the band, and on meeting the local performance standards (paras 1.8 to 1.10 and 1.16).
  • ✓ If the new starting salary (basic pay plus any unsocial hours payment and long-term recruitment and retention premium) would not increase your earnings, your previous salary is maintained until the new band overtakes it (para 1.18). The unsocial hours part only applies if your pattern stays substantially the same (para 1.19).

The forecaster applies the first and third points for you (the protection is applied to basic pay) and lets you pick a higher starting point if your trust has told you otherwise. Wales, Northern Ireland and Scotland word it differently: see the table in our promotion pay calculator guide, and read the primary text in the NHS Terms and Conditions of Service Handbook.

How long it takes to reach the top of each band

NHS Employers' 2026/27 pay scales table lists the years to progression for each band, and Annex 23 sets the Scotland timetable. The forecaster uses these for the pay point on every month of the forecast. For England and Wales (Northern Ireland is shown on the England scale), starting on the entry point:

BandYears on each pointTop of band reached afterEntry to top (2026/27)
Band 3 2 2 years £25,760 to £27,476
Band 4 3 3 years £28,392 to £31,157
Band 5 2 then 2 4 years £32,073 to £39,043
Band 6 2 then 3 5 years £39,959 to £48,117
Band 7 2 then 3 5 years £49,387 to £56,515
Band 8a 2 then 3 5 years £57,528 to £64,750

Sources: NHS Employers, Pay scales 2026/27 and Annex 23, Pay progression. These are the pay point clocks only. How long it takes to be promoted depends on vacancies and your application, which is covered in our band progression guide.

How long does it take to go from Band 6 to Band 7?

There is no fixed answer, because Band 7 is a promotion into a specific post. What you can fix is the cost of waiting. This table runs a Band 6 nurse on the entry point, promoted to Band 7 after two, three or five years, over ten years:

TimingTake-home over 10 yearsvs staying in Band 6vs promoted after 2 years
Promoted after 2 years £358,667 +£36,667 -
Promoted after 3 years £349,535 +£27,535 -£9,132
Promoted after 5 years £331,271 +£9,271 -£27,396

The later you are promoted, the smaller the extra. After five years the Band 6 nurse is on the top of their band (£48,117), and the Band 7 entry point (£49,387) adds only £1,270 a year before tax, which is exactly why timing and the extras you would lose matter. Most Band 7 routes also need postgraduate study that takes fixed time: see the nurse promotion guide.

What a promotion from the top of a band is really worth

Because you start at the minimum of the new band, a promotion from the top of your current band can be a small rise. These figures are full-time, England, no London weighting, with NHS Pension and no student loan:

MoveBasic payGross riseTake-home rise a month
Band 3 top to Band 4 entry £27,476 to £28,392 +£916 +£51
Band 4 top to Band 5 entry £31,157 to £32,073 +£916 +£50
Band 5 top to Band 6 entry £39,043 to £39,959 +£916 +£49
Band 6 top to Band 7 entry £48,117 to £49,387 +£1,270 +£68
Band 7 top to Band 8a entry £56,515 to £57,528 +£1,013 +£44

If you lose night or weekend enhancements on the way, the real figure can be lower or even negative. Enter the pay you would lose in the optional section of the forecaster to see the effect and the break-even month, then use the is a promotion worth it calculator for a verdict on a single move. The rota calculator estimates what your enhancements are worth.

Worked example: Band 5 to Band 6 after two years

A full-time Band 5 nurse on point 1 (England, no London weighting, no student loan) who is promoted to Band 6 after 24 months, against one who stays and takes the normal steps:

YearStaying: point, take-homePromoted: band and point, take-home
Year 1 Point 1: £24,483 Band 5 point 1: £24,483
Year 2 Point 1: £24,483 Band 5 point 1: £24,483
Year 3 Point 2: £26,129 Band 6 point 1: £29,157
Year 4 Point 2: £26,129 Band 6 point 1: £29,157
Year 5 Point 3 (top): £28,570 Band 6 point 2: £30,576
5-year total £129,792 (£172,373 gross) £137,855 (£186,234 gross)

The promoted path is £8,063 ahead after five years in take-home and £13,861 in gross pay. Over fifteen years the gap grows to £58,651 take-home, because the staying nurse tops out at £39,043 while the promoted one climbs to £48,117. The promoted path also pays more NHS Pension contributions (£10,123 more over fifteen years) and builds about £1,717 a year more pension in the 2015 scheme, before revaluation. The Pro version shows these for your own numbers.

Band 6 nurse NHS pay: points and take-home

If you are asking what a Band 6 nurse earns, these are the 2026/27 England points with estimated take-home for a full-time nurse (no London weighting, NHS Pension in, no student loan). Entry to top takes 5 years on the NHS Employers timetable.

Band 6 pointBasic payTake-home a month
Point 1£39,959£2,430
Point 2£42,170£2,548
Point 3£48,117£2,866

See the full guide to Band 6 nurse salary in 2026/27, and the Band 6 pay page. London weighting, unsocial hours and bank shifts come on top.

How to become a Band 6 nurse in the UK

Band 6 is a promotion, not a pay point, so the route is: qualify and register with the NMC, work as a Band 5 (most trusts offer preceptorship first), build the experience the Band 6 person specification asks for, then apply for and win a Band 6 post, internally or at another trust. Our guides cover each step honestly, including the range of how long it takes and why moving trust is often the faster route:

  • ✓ Read the nurse promotion guide for the Band 5 to 6 and 6 to 7 routes and what the posts usually expect.
  • ✓ Check the band progression guide for how long people report waiting, and why it varies so widely.
  • ✓ Prepare your application and the values-based interview: our supporting statement and interview guides are linked below.
  • ✓ Use this forecaster to see what a Band 6 move is worth over your career before you commit to extra study or a move.

See the nurse promotion guide, the band progression timeline, the NHS Jobs supporting statement guide and values-based interview questions. If you think your current job is already in the wrong band, that is regrading rather than promotion: see band regrading explained and the regrading evidence pack.

What this forecast does not include

ℹBasic pay, London weighting and the extras you enter

The forecast covers basic pay, London weighting and the extra pay you type in. It does not know your actual enhancements, bank shifts, on-call payments, tax code, salary sacrifice or student loan changes. It cannot say whether a promotion is available to you, how competitive it is, or what the job involves. Future pay awards are not predicted: by default it is in 2026/27 money, and any award you add is your own assumption. Use the sibling tools for enhancements and for the verdict on a single move.

How we calculate it, and sources

The tool works month by month. Pay points and band figures come from the same 2026/27 Agenda for Change data as our other pay tools. The time on each point comes from NHS Employers' pay scales table and Annex 23. Promotion placement follows Section 1 of the Handbook. Tax, National Insurance, NHS Pension contributions and student loan use the site's pay engine, and pension accrual uses the 1/54 accrual rate of the 2015 scheme. The forecast runs in your browser, and only the optional Pro AI guidance sends your scenario figures to our servers. Read our editorial policy for how we source and check figures.

  • •NHS Employers, Pay scales 2026/27: https://www.nhsemployers.org/articles/pay-scales-202627
  • •NHS Employers, Annex 23 Pay progression: https://www.nhsemployers.org/tchandbook/annex-21-to-25/annex-23-pay-progression-england
  • •NHS Terms and Conditions of Service Handbook, Section 1 (pay on promotion and pay steps): https://www.nhsemployers.org/publications/tchandbook
  • •GOV.UK, Income Tax rates and allowances: https://www.gov.uk/income-tax-rates
  • •NHS Pensions, 2015 scheme: https://www.nhsbsa.nhs.uk/member-hub/nhs-pension-scheme

Free and Pro compared

FeatureFreePro (£9.99 one-off, 180 days)
Forecast lengthUp to 5 yearsUp to 15 years
Stay versus one promotionYes, gross and take-homeYes
Pay-point timeline, chart, break-evenYesYes
Second path and second promotionNoYes
Pension effect per pathNoYes
PDF report and AI career guidanceNoYes
Share linkYesYes

A FrontlinePay Pro subscription also unlocks everything. See pricing.

Free download: NHS band progression checklist

How pay points, promotion and regrading work, and what to do to move up. We'll also send new application, interview and promotion guides as we publish them.

Free. Independent, not affiliated with the NHS. Every email has an unsubscribe link. See our privacy policy.

Frequently asked questions

What is the difference between promotion and progression in the NHS? +
Progression is the move to the next pay point inside your own band on your pay step date, once you have met the local performance standards. Promotion is being appointed to a post in a higher band. On promotion the Handbook sets your basic pay at the minimum pay point of the new band and resets your pay step date to the day you start in it, so you begin the new band's points from the bottom. The forecaster models both: steady progression on the stay path and a promotion event on the other path.
What is the NHS promotion rule for where I start in the new band? +
In England, Section 1 of the NHS Terms and Conditions of Service Handbook says basic pay on promotion is set at the minimum pay point of the new band and the pay step date resets (paras 1.15 and 1.17). If the new salary, counting any unsocial hours payment and long-term recruitment and retention premium, would not increase your earnings, your previous salary is kept until the new band overtakes it (para 1.18). Wales, Northern Ireland and Scotland have their own wording and trusts can apply it differently, so the forecaster lets you choose a different starting point and you should confirm with HR.
How long does it take to go from Band 6 to Band 7? +
There are two different clocks. Within Band 6 you move up the pay points on a fixed timetable: NHS Employers' 2026/27 table shows two years at the entry point and three at the middle one, so the top of Band 6 is reached after five years. Moving to Band 7 is a promotion, which needs a vacancy and a successful application, and no fixed time applies. Our band progression guide sets out the evidence on how long Band 5 to 6 and 6 to 7 typically take and why it varies so much.
How long does it take to reach the top of each pay band? +
On NHS Employers' 2026/27 England table: Band 3 reaches the top after 2 years, Band 4 after 3, Band 5 after 4 (2 years at each of the first two points), and Bands 6 to 9 after 5 (2 years, then 3). Scotland follows Annex 23 Table 1a, which is quicker for Bands 2 to 5, while Bands 8a to 9 spend four years on the first point. Moving up always depends on meeting the performance standards, so a delay is possible.
Does the forecaster predict future NHS pay rises? +
No. By default every month uses the real 2026/27 Agenda for Change figures, which is pay in today's money, because the next awards have not been announced. If you want a cash-terms view you can type your own assumed yearly pay award in the optional section; it is applied from year 2 and is clearly your assumption, not ours. Tax thresholds and pension rates stay at 2026/27 values either way.
Is the take-home figure the same as my payslip? +
It is a close planning estimate. It uses the same income tax, National Insurance, NHS Pension contribution and student loan rules as our NHS pay calculator, on basic pay, London weighting and any extra pay you type in. It does not model tax code changes, salary sacrifice, additional pensionable allowances or enhancements you have not entered. Use it to compare paths against each other rather than to predict a payslip to the pound.
Does it include unsocial hours, nights or overtime? +
Only if you enter them. The optional section lets you add the regular extra pay you earn now and the extra pay you expect after promotion, as gross a year. That is how the forecaster shows the common trap where a band rise is partly or wholly cancelled by losing night and weekend enhancements. Use the unsocial hours calculator or the rota calculator to estimate the figure first.
What is free and what is paid? +
Free: a 5-year comparison of staying on your band with one promotion, gross and take-home, a chart, a pay-point timeline, a break-even month if you enter costs, and a link to share your result. Pro costs £9.99 as a one-off payment (not a subscription) with 180 days of access, and adds forecasts up to 15 years, a second path with an optional second promotion, a running-advantage chart, the pension effect for each path, a printable PDF and AI career guidance. A Pro subscription also unlocks it.
How is the pension effect worked out? +
For each path we add up, month by month, 1/54 of your pensionable pay (basic pay plus London weighting), which is how the 2015 NHS Pension Scheme builds a pension each year, and show the extra annual pension you would draw in retirement against staying put, in today's money and before the yearly revaluation of your pot. We also show the extra contributions you pay on the higher salary. It assumes you are in the 2015 scheme full time or pro rata on your hours. Check your annual benefit statement for your own position.
Is a promotion always worth it? +
Not always. Promoting from the top of a band to the entry point of the next adds relatively little, and losing unsocial hours pay, taking on on-call duties or paying for a course can cancel it out. Enter your own costs in the optional section to see a break-even month, then use the free is-promotion-worth-it calculator for the verdict on a single move. Pay is only one factor: responsibility, hours and development matter too.

Related guides and tools

Last updated October 2026. Independent guidance; FrontlinePay is not affiliated with the NHS.